Hurricane Matthew: Updates



10/7/16 3:00 PM EDT
 
Counties with more than 10,000 reported outages by utility customers; based on outage data provided by FPL and Progress Energy Florida:
 
majorly-affected-counties-final-abb
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10/6/16 7:00 PM EDT
 
Potential storm surge for the St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant (Saint Lucie County, FL):
 
Unmodeled
st-lucie-plain
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Modeled
st-lucie-storm-surge
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10/6/16 4:00 PM EDT
 
Recently upgraded to a Category 4 storm, Hurricane Matthew is closing in on the Florida coastline at a steady 14 mph and is expected to make landfall Friday morning (~8:00 AM). Predicted storm tracks have Matthew moving up the eastern coast into the Carolinas before veering east back over the Atlantic. The below map illustrates storm tracking and modeled storm surge data from the National Hurricane Center, with potential height above ground for storm surge flooding in affected geographic regions.
 
matthew-large2
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Non-nuclear electric infrastructure located within the storm surge area includes seventeen generating units and several high voltage transmission lines (>230 kV). Nuclear plants near (but not within) potential storm surge areas include:

  1. Turkey Point (Miami Dade County, FL) – Nameplate Capacity 3,748 MW
  2. St. Lucie (Saint Lucie County, FL) – Nameplate Capacity 2,160 MW
  3. Brunswick (Brunswick County, NC) – Nameplate Capacity 2,023 MW

Florida Power and Light posted 530 storm center outages for Miami Dade County as of 10/6/2016 11:00 A.M EDT. Looking forward, large swathes of coastline extending from Florida up through Georgia and the Carolina’s will be subject to sustained winds up to 140 mph, heavy rains, and flooding as illustrated in the above map.  Potential outages in the upcoming days will affect the grid resulting in altered load and price trends.  We’ll provide updates as the storm progresses.